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Shower coverage increasing this afternoon

A second system Saturday looks even wetter

Usually, if it’s raining or snowing this time of day I’m writing a post focused on the late afternoon and early evening rush hours. As I write this today I can’t help but think about the massive reduction in traffic we’re seeing in the Twin Cities.

When you can count the number of vehicles on one hand on I-94 near Snelling Avenue, even around 2 pm, you know something is different.

I-94 at Snelling Avenue Wednesday afternoon
Unusually light traffic on I-94 at Snelling Avenue Wednesday afternoon
MNDOT

Many of us, maybe even most of us, are staying safe at home. Here’s a look at your late afternoon and evening nowcast. Hopefully, it’s useful no matter if you are driving, taking a walk, or sitting looking out your kitchen window.

“May you live interesting times.” Indeed.

Wednesday showers

It’s interesting how our Wednesday shower system has evolved. Two distinct bands of rainfall set up early this afternoon. One north and one south of the Twin Cities. Radar shows vigorous showers embedded within these bands.

Twin Cities radar loop Wednesday afternoon
Twin Cities radar loop through 2 pm Wednesday afternoon
NOAA via Weather Underground

Short-range mesoscale models suggest the precipitation area will fill in this afternoon into this evening. NOAA’s HRRR model suggests rain, possibly mixed with snow at times, will cover the Twin Cities area by late afternoon.

NOAA HRRR model through 7 pm Wednesday
NOAA HRRR model through 7 pm Wednesday
NOAA via tropical tidbits

Expect wetter roads for what used to be rush hour in the Twin Cities.

Wetter system Saturday

We may see a few passing renegade showers Friday across southern Minnesota.

A stronger storm appears on the weather maps by Saturday. This one looks better organized. It will likely bring periods of moderate to heavy rainfall across southern Minnesota Saturday.

NOAA’s GFS model paints the scenario.

NOAA GFS model Saturday
NOAA GFS model Saturday into Sunday morning
NOAA via tropical tidbits

Mider next week

Milder air still appears ready to push in next week. Highs should push the 60-degree mark in southern Minnesota Monday.

Temperature forecast for Twin Cities
Temperature forecast for Twin Cities area
NOAA via Weather Bell

Stay tuned.