Tropical Storm Cristobal landfall near New Orleans?
Two to 4 feet of storm surge and heavy rains heading for the Gulf Coast
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Tropical Storm Cristobal is moving north into and heading for a likely Gulf Coast landfall.
Most forecast models, and the official National Hurricane Center track forecast bring the storm to near New Orleans late Sunday night into Monday morning.
The latest European model forecast places the center of Cristobal very close to New Orleans late Sunday night.
Intensity forecast
The storm will move over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico this weekend. That means it will likely intensify before it reaches the Gulf Coast. The big question is how much will it strengthen? Most forecast models keep Cristobal at tropical storm strength before landfall.
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But remember that tropical cyclone intensity is often less easily predictable than storm tracks.
Storm surge
Tropical storm warnings are up for a big chunk of southeast Louisiana including New Orleans.
Forecasts for 2 to 4 feet of storm surge are up for the Gulf Coast.
Moisture to Minnesota?
Cristobal’s moisture is likely to reach the Upper Midwest by next Tuesday. Models are suggesting enhanced rainfall totals across the Upper Midwest next week.
