Explaining race calls: Presidential race too early to call

Updated: 8 a.m.

The Associated Press is not calling the presidential race yet because neither candidate has secured the 270 Electoral College votes needed to claim victory.

Republican President Donald Trump spoke at the White House early Wednesday and claimed victories in several states that were still too early to call, saying, "Frankly, we did win this election" over Democrat Joe Biden. His assertion of victory does not match the results and information currently available to the AP. Trump said he would take the election to the Supreme Court, but it was unclear on what legal grounds.

Trump or Biden would need 270 electoral votes to win. Several key states are too early to call, including Pennsylvania, Georgia and Michigan.

Here is an alphabetical state-by-state look at how and why The Associated Press has called U.S. states in the 2020 presidential election. More states will be added as they are called.

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Why the AP called Alabama for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Alabama as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

The news agency did so after results from AP VoteCast and an analysis of voting statistics confirmed expectations that the state's longstanding political trend of favoring Republican presidential candidates will hold.

VoteCast, the AP's wide-ranging survey of the American electorate, captures voters' choices and why they made them.

A Democratic presidential contender hasn't won Alabama since Jimmy Carter, from neighboring Georgia, did in 1976. Trump carried the state by 28 percentage points in 2016.

Why the AP called Arizona for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner in Arizona, flipping a longtime GOP state that Trump won in 2016.

The AP called the race at 2:50 a.m. EST Wednesday, after an analysis of ballots cast statewide concluded there were not enough outstanding to allow Trump to catch up.

With 80 percent of the expected vote counted, Biden was ahead by 5 percentage points, with a roughly 130,000-vote lead over Trump with about 2.6 million ballots counted. The remaining ballots left to be counted, including mail-in votes in Maricopa County, where Biden performed strongly, were not enough for Trump to catch up to the former vice president.

Arizona has a long political history of voting Republican. It's the home state of Barry Goldwater, a five-term, conservative senator who was the Republican nominee for president in 1964. John McCain, the party's 2008 presidential nominee, represented the state in Congress from 1983 until his 2018 death.

But changing demographics, including a fast-growing Latino population and a boom of new residents — some fleeing the skyrocketing cost of living in neighboring California — have made the state friendlier to Democrats.

Many of the gains have been driven by the shifting politics of Maricopa County, which is home to Phoenix and its suburbs. That's where Biden sealed his victory. Maricopa County accounts for 60 percent of the state's vote, and Biden ran up huge margins there.

In 2016, Trump carried the county by 4 percentage points, which helped propel him to a win. But two years later, Democratic Sen. Kyrsten Sinema flipped the seat from Republican control by winning the county by 5 points.

When the AP called the race for Biden, he was leading there by 9 percentage points.

Biden flipping Arizona is a sign of Democrats' ascendant influence in the state.

In 2018, Sinema became the first Democrat in three decades to win a U.S. Senate seat in Arizona. Democrats also won three statewide offices and five of nine congressional seats and made gains in the state legislature that year.

In 2016, voters ousted Republican Joe Arpaio, Maricopa County's hardline sheriff, who built a national profile on his harsh treatment of immigrants.

Why AP called Arkansas for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Arkansas as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

The news agency did so after results from AP VoteCast and an analysis of early voting statistics confirmed expectations that the state's longstanding political trends in favor of Republican presidential candidates will hold.

Bill Clinton, a native of Hot Springs and a longtime former governor, was the last Democratic presidential candidate to win the state in 1996. Trump won Arkansas by nearly 27 percentage points in 2016.

Why the AP called California for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner of California as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

The news agency did so after results from AP VoteCast and an analysis of early voting statistics confirmed expectations that the state's longstanding political trend in favor of Democratic presidential candidates will hold.

Hillary Clinton beat Trump in California by 30 percentage points in 2016, and a Republican presidential candidate hasn't carried the state since George H.W. Bush in 1988.

California is the most populous state in the U.S. and its 55 electoral votes make it the biggest Election Day prize.

Why AP called Colorado for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner of Colorado as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

The news agency did so after results from AP VoteCast and an analysis of early voting statistics confirmed expectations that the state's longstanding political trend of favoring Democratic presidential candidates will hold.

Colorado was a swing state not that long ago. It voted for Republican Bob Dole over Democrat Bill Clinton in 1996, and swung for George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004. And state government was solidly Republican until about 15 years ago.

But massive growth in Denver and its surrounding areas ushered in a political shift. Employment opportunities, craft beer brewing, legal marijuana and the state's rugged and snow-capped mountains drew in new residents — as well as their decidedly more liberal politics.

Democrats now control the governor's office and the Legislature. In addition to Biden winning the state, former Gov. John Hickenlooper also ousted incumbent Republican Sen. Cory Gardner for the U.S. Senate on Tuesday.

Why AP called Connecticut for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner of Connecticut as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

Hillary Clinton won Connecticut by over 13 percentage points in 2016. A Republican presidential candidate hasn't carried the state since George H.W. Bush in 1988.

Why AP called Delaware for Biden

The AP declared Democrat Joe Biden the winner of Delaware as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

Biden, who moved to Delaware as a boy and continues to live there, represented the state in the U.S. Senate for more than three decades until he became Barack Obama's vice president in 2009.

Hillary Clinton won Delaware by over 11 percentage points in 2016. The state hasn't voted for a Republican presidential candidate since George H.W. Bush in 1988.

Why AP called Florida for Trump

In Florida, one of 2020's most crucial battleground states, Trump's strength in his recently adopted home state delivered a victory over Biden.

The AP called the race for Trump at 12:34 a.m. Wednesday, after an analysis of ballots statewide concluded there were not enough outstanding to allow Biden to catch up.

Florida is typically decided on razor-thin margins and Trump carried the state in 2016 by just 1.2 percentage points. It is one of the biggest Election Day prizes, offering 29 electoral votes.

With 96 percent of the expected vote counted, Trump led Biden by over 375,000 votes. The remaining vote left to be counted in Democratic-leaning areas of the state was not enough to overcome Trump's lead of about 3 percentage points.

To win, Biden needed to run up massive margins in the three heavily Democratic counties in south Florida. But early returns showed him underperforming in Miami-Dade County.

That's where Trump and his allies have been branding Democrats as socialists in advertisements for more than a year — a message geared toward south Florida's Cuban population, many of whom fled the island nation after Fidel Castro's communist government came to power.

Florida was a must-win for Trump. Without it, his path to the presidency would have drastically narrowed.

He saturated the state with TV advertising and shifted his residency from New York to Palm Beach County, where he owns the Mar-a-Lago Club, which has been billed as the "Winter White House."

Why Georgia is too close to call

The AP has not declared a winner in Georgia’s presidential contest because the race between Trump and Biden is too early to call, with outstanding ballots left to be counted in counties where Biden has performed well.

Early Wednesday, Trump prematurely claimed he carried Georgia — and several other states that were too early to call.

“It’s ... clear that we have won Georgia. We’re up by 2.5 percent, or 117,000 (votes) with only 7 percent (of the vote) left” to count, Trump said during an early morning appearance at the White House. He also said he planned to contest the U.S. presidential election before the Supreme Court. It was unclear exactly what legal action he might pursue.

The race is too early to call because an estimated 4 percent of the vote still remains to be counted. That includes mailed ballots from two counties Biden is winning: metro Atlanta’s DeKalb County, as well as Chatham County, which is home to Savannah.

Why AP called Hawaii for Biden

The AP declared Democrat Joe Biden the winner of Hawaii as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

A Republican presidential candidate hasn't won Hawaii since Ronald Reagan in 1984. Trump lost Hawaii by 32 points in 2016.

Why AP called Idaho for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner in Idaho when polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from the election concluding Tuesday.

Lyndon Johnson in 1964 was the last Democratic presidential candidate to win Idaho. Trump carried the state by over 31 percentage points in 2016.

Why AP called Illinois for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner of Illinois as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

Illinois has long been a Democratic stronghold and hasn't swung for a Republican presidential candidate since George H.W. Bush in 1988. Hillary Clinton carried the state by 17 percentage points in 2016.

Why AP called Indiana for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Indiana at 8:48 p.m. EST, after an analysis of ballots cast statewide concluded there were not enough outstanding ones to allow Biden to catch up.

With 55 percent of the expected vote counted, Trump led Biden by roughly 22 percentage points.

Those results matched data from AP VoteCast. The survey found Trump with a substantial lead in the state.

Trump's Indiana win is no surprise. He carried the state by 19 points over Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016. The GOP holds all statewide offices and both Senate seats. And it's the home state of Vice President Mike Pence, who was Indiana's governor until Trump picked him to join the GOP ticket in 2016.

Other than 2008, when Barack Obama carved out a narrow win, Indiana hasn't favored a Democrat for president since Lyndon Johnson in 1964.

Why AP called Iowa for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Iowa at 12:16 a.m. EST Wednesday, after an analysis of ballots statewide concluded there were not enough outstanding ones to allow Biden to catch up.

With 95 percent of the expected vote counted, Trump led Biden by roughly 8.3 percentage points — or about 128,000 votes out of almost 1.6 million ballots counted.

Those results matched data from AP VoteCast. The survey found Trump had a substantial lead in the state.

Iowa was once a pivotal swing state that went for Al Gore over George W. Bush in 2000 and twice elected Barack Obama.

But over the past decade it has trended increasingly Republican.

The state is home to the greatest number of counties — 31 — that went for Trump in 2016 after voting for Obama. State government is dominated by the GOP. And Trump won the state by 9.5 percentage points over Hillary Clinton in 2016.

Why the AP called Kansas for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Kansas at 9:45 p.m. EST, after an analysis of ballots cast statewide concluded there were not enough outstanding ones to allow Biden to catch up.

With 77 percent of the expected vote counted, Trump led Biden by nearly 7 percentage points.

Those results matched data from AP VoteCast. The survey found Trump with a substantial lead in the state.

The state hasn't a swung for Democratic presidential candidate since Bill Clinton in 1996, when Dole, a Kansan, was the Republican nominee. Trump won the state by 20 percentage points in 2016.

Why AP called Kentucky for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Kentucky as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

Bill Clinton was the last Democratic presidential contender to win Kentucky in 1996. Trump won the state in 2016 by nearly 30 points.

Why AP called Louisiana for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Louisiana as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

The news agency did so after results from AP VoteCast and an analysis of early voting statistics confirmed the state's longstanding political trends in favor of Republican presidential candidates will hold.

Bill Clinton was the last Democratic presidential candidate to win the state in 1996. Trump carried Louisiana by over 19 points in 2016.

Why AP called Maine for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner in Maine at 2:36 a.m. Wednesday, after an analysis of ballots cast statewide concluded there were not enough outstanding ones to allow Trump to catch up.

With 85 percent of the expected vote counted, Biden led Trump by roughly 10 percentage points. The vote left to be counted in Republican-leaning areas was not enough for Trump to catch up to Biden.

Maine is one of two states that does not use a "winner take all" approach toward awarding electors. Two electors are given to the winner of the statewide vote, while Maine's two congressional districts each award one elector to the top vote-getter in the district.

Biden won the statewide vote, as well as Maine's 1st congressional district. Maine's 2nd congressional district has not yet been called.

Maine has not voted for a Republican presidential contender since George H.W. Bush in 1988. Hillary Clinton defeated Trump in the state by 3 points in 2016.

Why AP called Maryland for Biden

The AP declared Democrat Joe Biden the winner of Maryland as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

VoteCast, the AP's wide-ranging survey of the American electorate, captures voters' choices and why they made them.

A Republican presidential candidate hasn't won Maryland since George H.W. Bush in 1988. Democrat Hillary Clinton carried the state by over 26 percentage points in 2016.

Why AP called Massachusetts for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner of Massachusetts as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

Hillary Clinton carried the state by over 27 percentage points in 2016, and a Republican presidential candidate hasn't won Massachusetts since Reagan in 1984.

Why AP hasn’t called Michigan

There are over 1 million ballots left to be counted in Michigan, many coming from the Democratic stronghold of Detroit. That makes the race between Trump and Biden too early for the AP to call.

Michigan is among a handful of battleground states where Trump prematurely claimed early Wednesday he was "winning" the contest with Biden.

"We're winning Michigan by — I'll tell you, I looked at the numbers," Trump said during an appearance at the White House, where he promised to contest the election before the Supreme Court.

More than 5.26 million votes have been cast in Michigan and many of the ballots left to be counted were submitted by mail, a way of voting that favors Biden. Of those, a significant number were from Wayne County, home to heavily Democratic Detroit.

Trump also gave differing figures for his lead in the contest. At one point he said he was ahead by 300,000 votes, but he later said his lead was 107,000.

With 79 percent of the vote counted in the state, Trump is actually leading by 226,000 votes.

Why AP called Minnesota for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner of Minnesota at 11:55 p.m. EST Tuesday, after an analysis of ballots statewide concluded there were not enough outstanding ones to allow Trump to catch up.

With 85 percent of the expected vote counted, Biden led Trump by roughly 4 percentage points — or about 190,000 votes out of about 2.3 million ballots cast. The remaining votes in Republican-leaning areas are not enough for Trump to overtake Biden's lead.

Minnesota has been solidly Democratic for the past half-century, but has turned into a presidential battleground.

Trump targeted the state after narrowly losing to Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016 by 1.6 percentage points.

Republicans, however, suffered a blow in the 2018 midterm elections. Minnesota Democrats flipped two suburban congressional districts, took back control of the state House by winning suburban Trump-voting areas and came within one seat of winning control of the state Senate.

The last time Minnesota voted for a Republican presidential candidates was Richard Nixon in 1972.

Why AP called Mississippi for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Mississippi as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

The news agency did so after results from AP VoteCast and an analysis of voting statistics confirmed expectations that the state's longstanding political trends in favor of Republican presidential candidates will hold.

A Democratic presidential contender hasn't won Mississippi since Carter in 1976. Trump carried the state by more than 17 percentage points in 2016.

Why AP called Missouri for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Missouri at 10:18 p.m. EST, after an analysis of ballots cast statewide concluded there were not enough outstanding ones to allow Biden to catch up.

With 44 percent of the expected vote counted, Trump led Biden by roughly 16 percentage points.

Those results matched data from AP VoteCast. The survey found Trump with a substantial lead in the state.

Bill Clinton in 1996 was the last Democratic presidential candidate to win Missouri. Trump carried the state by over 18 percentage points in 2016.

Why AP called Montana for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Montana at 12:14 a.m. EST Wednesday, after an analysis of ballots statewide concluded there were not enough outstanding ones to allow Biden to catch up.

With 56 percent of the expected vote counted, Trump led Biden by nearly 6 percentage points. The remaining vote count in Democratic leaning areas was not enough to overcome Trump's lead.

Those results matched data from AP VoteCast. The survey found Trump had a substantial lead in the state.

Bill Clinton in 1992 was the last Democratic presidential candidate to win the state. Trump won Montana by 20 points in 2016.

Why AP called Nebraska for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of the statewide vote in Nebraska as soon as polls closed there, even though election officials had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

A Democrat hasn't won a presidential race in Nebraska since Johnson in 1964. The news agency called the race for Trump after results from AP VoteCast and an analysis of early voting statistics confirmed expectations that the state's longstanding political trends in favor of Republican presidential candidates will hold.

VoteCast, the AP's wide-ranging survey of the American electorate, captures voters' choices and why they made them.

While the AP called the state for Trump, Nebraska is one of two states that don't award electoral votes on a "winner take all" basis.

Instead, the statewide winner garners two electoral votes, while the winner in each of the state's three congressional districts is awarded 1 vote per district they carry.

Trump carried Nebraska's 3rd and 1st congressional districts. Biden took Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, which Trump carried in 2016 when he won the state by about 25 points.

Why AP called New Hampshire for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner of New Hampshire at 10:50 p.m. EST, after an analysis of ballots statewide concluded there were not enough outstanding to allow Trump to catch up.

With 48 percent of the expected vote counted, Biden led Trump by nearly 9 percentage points — or about 33,000 votes out of 382,000 counted.

Completed vote counts in a representative selection of precincts in communities across New Hampshire also showed Biden comfortably ahead of Trump.

Those results matched data from AP VoteCast and an analysis of early voting statistics. The survey found Biden with a significant lead in the state.

New Hampshire last voted for a Republican presidential contender in 2004 when George W. Bush was on the ballot. Democrat Hillary Clinton won the state by less than a percentage point in 2016.

Why AP called New Jersey for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner of New Jersey as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

A Republican presidential candidate hasn't won New Jersey since George H.W. Bush in 1988. Democrat Hillary Clinton carried the state by 14 percentage points in 2016.

Why AP called New Mexico for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner of New Mexico as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

The news agency did so after results from AP VoteCast and an analysis of early voting statistics confirmed expectations the state's longstanding political trends in favor of Democratic presidential candidates will hold.

Trump initially planned to contest New Mexico, which has only voted for a Republican presidential candidate once since 1992, and even held a 2019 rally in Rio Rancho. But the state was not truly within his grasp and his campaign long ago gave up on trying to win it.

Democrats control all statewide offices and both Senate seats, as well as the state's three congressional districts.

George W. Bush was the last Republican presidential candidate to win the state in 2004. Hillary Clinton carried New Mexico in 2016 by 8 percentage points.

Why AP called New York for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner of New York as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

Reagan in 1984 was the last Republican to win the state. Trump, who was raised in Queens and built his personal brand as a brash New York City real estate developer, lost the state by more than 22 points in 2016.

Why AP hasn’t called North Carolina

The AP has not declared a winner in North Carolina's presidential contest because the race is too early to call.

Trump prematurely claimed early Wednesday that he won the state.

"We've clearly won North Carolina, where we're up 1.7 percent, 77,000 votes with only approximately 5 percent left. They can't catch us," he said during an appearance at the White House. Trump also said he planned to contest the U.S. presidential election before the Supreme Court. It was unclear, exactly, what legal action he might pursue.

Though Trump is correct that he held a 76,000-vote lead in the state early Wednesday, the race is too early to call and there are still about 200,000 mail-in ballots left to count.

As long as those ballots are postmarked by Nov. 3, state election officials have until Nov. 12 to count them. And when it comes to mail ballots, Biden was far outperforming Trump.

That means there's a considerable number of ballots yet to be counted that could give Biden a lead.

Why AP called North Dakota for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of North Dakota as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

The news agency did so after results from AP VoteCast and an analysis of early voting statistics confirmed expectations the state's longstanding political trends in favor of Republican presidential candidates will hold.

Johnson in 1964 was the last Democratic presidential candidate to win the state. Trump won North Dakota by 36 percentage points in 2016.

Why the AP called Ohio for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Ohio at 12:17 a.m. EST Wednesday, after an analysis of ballots statewide concluded there were not enough outstanding to allow Biden to catch up.

With 85 percent of the expected vote counted, Biden led Trump by roughly 4 percentage points — or about 120,000 votes out of 3 million counted. The remaining votes left to be counted in Democratic areas — both absentee and provisional ballots — were not enough for Biden to overtake Trump's lead.

For a long time, Ohio was the quintessential swing state, which Barack Obama won twice.

Yet Trump carried it by 8 points in 2016. And after Republican wins statewide over the past decade, it has increasingly proven to be out of Democrats' reach.

Why AP called Oklahoma for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Oklahoma as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

Johnson in 1964 was the last Democratic presidential candidate to win the state. Trump carried Oklahoma by 36 points in 2016.

Why AP called Oregon for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner of Oregon as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

A Republican presidential candidate hasn't won Oregon since Reagan in 1984, and Democrat Hillary Clinton beat Trump in the state by 11 points in 2016.

Why AP hasn’t called Pennsylvania

The AP has not declared a winner in the battleground state of Pennsylvania, because there are more than 1.5 million votes left to be counted in the contest between Trump and Biden.

Trump, who held a 675,000-vote lead early Wednesday, prematurely declared victory in the state.

"We're winning Pennsylvania by a tremendous amount. We're up 690,000 votes in Pennsylvania. These aren't even close. It's not like, 'Oh, it's close,'" Trump said during an appearance at the White House.

Yet, the vast majority of the votes left to be counted there were cast by mail, a form of voting that Biden has carried by a large margin. That's likely because Trump has spent months claiming without proof that voting by mail would lead to widespread voter fraud.

Democrats had long considered Pennsylvania a part of their "blue wall" — a trifecta that also includes Wisconsin and Michigan — that for years had served as a bulwark in presidential elections. In 2016, Trump won each by less than a percentage point.

Biden, who was born in Scranton, claims favorite-son status in the state and has long played up the idea that he was Pennsylvania's "third senator" during his decades representing neighboring Delaware. He's also campaigned extensively in the state from his home in Delaware.

Why AP called Rhode Island for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner of Rhode Island as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

A Republican presidential candidate hasn't won Rhode Island since Reagan in 1984. Hillary Clinton beat Trump in the state by over 15 percentage points in 2016.

Why AP called South Carolina for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of South Carolina at 7:53 p.m. EST, after results from early returns and an AP survey of the electorate showed Trump had beaten Democratic nominee Joe Biden in the state.

While only about 3 percent of the vote had been counted statewide, completed counts in a representative selection of precincts in communities across South Carolina showed Trump comfortably ahead.

Those results matched data from AP VoteCast and an analysis of early voting statistics. The survey found Trump with a substantial lead in the state.

South Carolina hasn't swung for a Democratic presidential contender since the 1976 election of Carter, who is from neighboring Georgia. Trump won the state by over 14 points in 2016.

Why AP called South Dakota for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of South Dakota as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

Johnson in 1964 was the last Democratic presidential candidate to win the state. Trump won South Dakota by almost 30 percentage points in 2016.

Why AP called Tennessee for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Tennessee as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

Bill Clinton in 1996 was the last Democratic presidential candidate to win Tennessee. Trump carried the state by 26 percentage points in 2016.

Why AP called Texas for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Texas at 12:54 a.m. EST Wednesday, after an analysis of ballots statewide concluded there were not enough outstanding to allow Biden to catch up.

With 82 percent of the expected vote counted, Trump led Biden by roughly 5 percentage points — or about 626,000 votes out of roughly 10.8 million counted. The remaining ballots left to be tabulated in Democratic-leaning areas were not enough for Biden to overcome Trump's lead.

Trump won Texas by 9 percentage points over Hillary Clinton in 2016. Republicans dominate state government in the capital, Austin. And a Democrat hasn't won statewide since 1994.

But headed into Election Day, Democrats argued Texas was a competitive.

Demographics in the state have been shifting. The population is booming. Latinos are flocking to the state. Job opportunities have also drawn people from across the U.S., who have brought with them their more liberal values.

Beto O'Rourke, a former El Paso congressman, came within 3 percentage points of beating Republican Sen. Ted Cruz in 2018.

It was enough to entice Sen. Kamala Harris, Biden's running mate, to make a last-minute visit to Fort Worth in the final week of the campaign.

But Trump's victory again dashed the Democratic hope that the state was on the cusp of flipping. And for all their optimism, Democrats are still faced with the reality that their 26-year drought without a statewide win will continue.

Why the AP called Utah for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Utah at 11:06 p.m. EST, after an analysis of ballots cast statewide concluded there were not enough outstanding ones to allow Biden to catch up.

With 65 percent of the expected vote counted, Trump had a 145,000-vote lead over Biden out of roughly 913,000 ballots cast, which amounted to a roughly 16 percentage point lead.

Johnson in 1964 was the last Democratic presidential candidate to win the state. Trump beat Democrat Hillary Clinton in Utah by 18 percentage points in 2016, even with Utah-native Evan McMullin appearing on the ballot as a conservative alternative to Trump.

Why AP called Vermont for Biden

The AP declared Democrat Joe Biden the winner of Vermont as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

Biden's victory in Vermont is not a surprise: Democrats have won the state in every presidential election since 1992, and it is home to former Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders.

Hillary Clinton carried the state in 2016 by over 28 percentage points.

Why AP called Virginia for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner of Virginia at 7:31 p.m. EST, after results from early returns and an AP survey of the electorate showed the former vice president had beaten Trump in the state.

With about 53 percent of the vote counted statewide at 11 p.m., completed counts in a representative selection of precincts in communities across Virginia showed Biden comfortably ahead of Trump.

Those results matched data from AP VoteCast and an analysis of early voting statistics. The survey found Biden with a substantial lead in the state.

Trump jumped out to an early lead in Virginia because many Republican counties reported their results first. But much of the remaining ballots left to be counted were cast in population-dense Democratic areas near Washington D.C., including Fairfax and Prince William counties.

Virginia was once solidly Republican, with President George W. Bush winning there as recently as 2004. But explosive growth in northern Virginia's Washington, D.C., suburbs has led to an influx of increasingly diverse and Democratic-leaning voters who have helped tip the balance of power.

Hillary Clinton won Virginia by more than 5 points in 2016. The state has a Democratic governor. And in 2019, Democrats took control of both chambers of the Legislature for the first time in decades.

Why AP called Washington for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner of Washington state as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

It's no surprise Biden won Washington state. Democrats control the governor's office, the Legislature and both Senate seats.

Though voters there went for Republican presidential candidates in the 1970s and '80s, left-leaning politics is woven into the state's political DNA.

The state's population-dense Puget Sound region has long been a hotbed of labor activism. Seattle, the state's largest city, was the site of the first general strike of the 20th century in 1919. And Franklin Delano Roosevelt's postmaster general, James Farley, once joked in 1936 that there were "forty-seven states in the Union, and the Soviet of Washington." Hawaii and Alaska were not yet states at the time.

A Republican presidential candidate hasn't won Washington state since Reagan in 1984 and Trump lost the 2016 vote by 16 percentage points.

Why AP called Washington, D.C., for Biden

The AP declared Biden the winner of Washington, D.C., at 9:26 p.m. EST, after an analysis of ballots cast across the district concluded there were not enough outstanding to allow Trump to catch up.

With 41 percent of the expected vote counted, Biden led Trump by roughly 86 percentage points. Those results matched data from AP VoteCast and an analysis of early voting statistics. The survey found Biden with an overwhelming lead.

The nation's capital has never voted for a Republican since it was granted electoral votes in 1961. Hillary Clinton carried it by over 85 points in 2016.

Why AP called West Virginia for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of West Virginia as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

Trump won West Virginia by 42 points in 2016. The last Democratic presidential contender to carry the state was Bill Clinton in 1996.

Why AP hasn’t called Wisconsin

The AP has not declared a winner in Wisconsin's presidential contest because the race between Trump and Biden is too early to call.

Trump prematurely claimed early Wednesday that he was "winning" the state.

With nearly all votes counted, Biden had a lead of sixth-tenths of a percentage point over Trump, a margin narrow enough to allow Trump to request a recount if it stands.

More than 1.9 million people voted early, either by mail or in person, because of the coronavirus pandemic. That flood of ballots extended the counting past 4 a.m. Wednesday. Those ballots take longer than a regular ballot to process, and the counting could not begin until the polls opened Tuesday, delaying the reporting of results.

After totals were updated Wednesday morning, Biden expanded his lead to more than 20,000 votes out of nearly 3.2 million cast.

Trump led earlier in the night, fueled by in-person voting results, but the 169,000 outstanding ballots from Milwaukee and ballots from other cities broke heavily for Biden.

Trump also said he planned to contest the election before the Supreme Court. It was unclear exactly what legal action he might pursue.

Why AP called Wyoming for Trump

The AP declared Trump the winner of Wyoming as soon as polls closed in the state, even though election officials there had yet to release any results from Tuesday's presidential contest.

Johnson in 1964 was the last Democratic presidential candidate to win the state. Trump won Wyoming by 47 points in 2016.