Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Rain, snow and possible thunder; first 70s next week?

Soggy to slushy into Wednesday. Season's warmest air so far blows in next week.

NOAA GFS temperature forecast for 3 p.m. Monday, March 29.
NOAA GFS temperature forecast for 3 p.m. Monday, March 29.
NOAA via pivotal weather

One thing about Minnesota weather. It’s rarely boring.

In the next week, Minnesota will enjoy rain and possible thunder, slushy snow, sunshine, and the first 70 degree temperatures of the year for some locations.

Soggy system now

Our latest unusually warm March storm slogs across Minnesota through Wednesday. This system wrings out more rare March rain for Minnesota, with some slushy accumulations up north.

Our sprawling low-pressure system spins northward from Iowa into Minnesota tonight. NOAA’s GOES-16 satellite loop shows the main rain shield is spinning through southern Minnesota. You can also see the tighter circulation around the system’s core producing thunderstorms near Des Moines, Iowa, to the south.

NOAA GOES-16 satellite loop Tuesday
NOAA GOES-16 satellite loop Tuesday
NOAA via COD Weather Lab

NOAA’s NAM 3 km resolution model shows the system spinning northward into Wisconsin by 6 a.m. Wednesday morning. Note the rain changing to snow across parts of northern Minnesota.

NOAA NAM 3 km model into Thursday morning
NOAA NAM 3 km model into Thursday morning
NOAA via tropical tidbits

Precipitation totals still range from .50 inch to more than an inch across the Upper Midwest by Thursday morning.

NOAA NAM 3 km model precipitation output
NOAA NAM 3 km model precipitation output
NOAA via pivotal weather

A few slushy inches will fall across northern Minnesota.

European model (ECMWF) snowfall output
European model (ECMWF) snowfall output
ECMWF via pivotal weather

A shot at 70 next week?

Next week’s upper air charts look promising for delivering the warmest temperatures so far this year to the Upper Midwest. Monday and Friday look like the mildest days.

Upper air forecast map for 7 pm March 26
Upper air forecast map for 7 p.m. Friday.
NOAA

Forecast models are cranking out highs in the 60s to near 70 degrees once again by Monday afternoon.

NOAA GFS temperature forecast for 3 pm Monday March 29
NOAA GFS temperature forecast for 3 p.m. Monday, March 29.
NOAA via pivotal weather

The average date for the first 70-degree temperature in the Twin Cities is April 13. The smart money is on hitting 70 in the Twin Cities earlier than average this year.

NOAA’s eight to 14-day outlook favors more unseasonably mild air as we move into the first week of April.

NOAA 8 to 14-day temperature outlook
NOAA 8 to 14-day temperature outlook
NOAA

Stay tuned.