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Mild weather continues, scattered rains increase late this week

Best rain chances in northern Minnesota through this weekend.

Forecast high temperatures Wednesday
Forecast high temperatures Wednesday.
NOAA

We’re off and running on a mild start to October.

A plume of unseasonably warm air is streaming north all the way into Canada. Temperatures Tuesday afternoon show 70s and 80s all the way north into Canada. A few locations in the Dakotas have hit 90 degrees once again.

Temperatures Tuesday afternoon
Temperatures Tuesday afternoon.
Oklahoma Mesonet

Wednesday delivers another warm October afternoon with temperatures running 10 to 15 degrees warmer than average in our region. Highs reach the 70s again across much of Minnesota with 80s in the Dakotas.

Forecast high temperatures Wednesday
Forecast high temperatures Wednesday.
NOAA

Rain chances increase late this week

Thursday brings more clouds to Minnesota with slightly cooler temperatures and spotty shower chances.

A low-pressure system spinning into the Upper Midwest this weekend brings increased rain chances. Here’s an early look at the Canadian model output for Saturday and Sunday.

Canadian model Saturday and Sunday
Canadian model Saturday and Sunday.
Environment Canada

Overall rainfall totals look highest in the northern half of Minnesota and North Dakota. Here’s the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s GFS model rainfall output.

NOAA GFS precipitation output
NOAA GFS precipitation output through Sunday.
NOAA via pivotal weather

It should be noted that the European model is the outlier, and currently shoves heavier rainfall south toward the Twin Cities this weekend.

Stay tuned.