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Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News
Paul Huttner

Last subzero night for MSP? 50s likely next week

A slushy snow chance lurks Monday before a big warmup

Forecast high temperatures Tuesday
Forecast high temperatures Tuesday.
NOAA

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One more night.

While your MPR Weather guarantee covers only sunrise and sunset, this will very likely be the last subzero night for the Twin Cities and much of southern Minnesota this season. So, what’s the latest subzero temperature ever recorded in the Twin Cities?

March 31, 1969: minus 1 degree.

Temperatures Saturday morning will dive into the minus 20s across parts of central and northern Minnesota. I’m forecasting a bottom of around minus 3 degrees in the inner Twin Cities core, colder in the suburbs.

NOAA GFS temperature forecast for 6 am Saturday
NOAA GFS temperature forecast for 6 a.m. Saturday.
NOAA via tropical tidbits

Temperatures moderate Saturday afternoon. Highs should crack the upper 20s in the Twin Cities, and check out the 30s, 40s and even 50s to the west — preview of coming weather attractions.

Forecast high temperatures Saturday
Forecast high temperatures Saturday.
NOAA

Milder Sunday

Sunday afternoon will be the time when you might step outside and breathe in a little sigh of hopeful spring relief. Highs will reach the 40s from the Twin Cities south and west.

Forecast high temperatures Sunday
Forecast high temperatures Sunday.
NOAA

Snow chance Monday

The one little speed bump in our springlike week next week arrives Monday. A clipper tracking through central Minnesota may bring a few inches of slushy snow favoring central Minnesota. Most forecast models have the Twin Cities on the southern edge of this system, but it bears watching.

Here’s NOAA’s GFS model for Monday.

NOAA GFS model Monday
NOAA GFS model Monday.
NOAA via tropical tidbits

50s likely next week

A bigger and more sustained warming trend arrives next Tuesday into the weekend of March 19-20. Highs are likely to reach the (upper?) 50s to near 60 degrees across southern Minnesota as soon as next Tuesday.

Forecast high temperatures Tuesday
Forecast high temperatures Tuesday.
NOAA

The European model cranks out temperatures near 60 degrees across southern Minnesota by next Wednesday.

European model (ECMWF) temperature forecast noon Wednesday
European model (ECMWF) temperature forecast noon Wednesday, March 16
Environment Canada via pivotal weather

NOAA’s six- to 10-day outlook strongly favors warmer than average temperatures overall through March 21.

NOAA 6 to 10-day temperature outlook
NOAA six- to 10-day temperature outlook
NOAA

The average high and low next week for the Twin Cities are 42 degrees and 25 degrees.