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Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

More clouds and stronger winds Sunday; rain or a mix in parts of Minnesota

Update on the midweek storm

rt0409mpls
Minnehaha Creek in Minneapolis April 9, 2022
Ron Trenda/MPR News

The Saturday sunshine was great, and our winds were light. The high temp at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport was 55 degrees on Saturday. We hadn’t reached the 50s since last Saturday.

On my afternoon drive in Minneapolis I noticed a lot of ice on Lake Harriet and Bde Mka Ska, with some open water near the shorelines of both lakes. Much of Lake of the Isles was ice-covered, but the northern section of the lake had a lot of open water:

rt0409isles
Lake of the Isles, Minneapolis April 9, 2022
Ron Trenda/MPR News

Our remaining lake ice will shrink in the coming days, due to the relatively warm temps, gusty winds and periods of rain that are in the forecast.

Sunday rain and snow chances highest west and north

A low pressure system will spread rain into much of western and northern Minnesota Sunday morning, possibly mixed with a few flakes. It’ll be mainly rain in those same areas during the afternoon hours.

The rain coverage expands into central Minnesota Sunday afternoon, then into east-central Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin Sunday evening. The precipitation in north-central and northeastern Minnesota could transition to a rain/snow mix or all snow Sunday evening and continue overnight Sunday night.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale (NAM) forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern from 3 a.m. Sunday to 11 p.m. Sunday:

rt0409rad5
NAM simulated radar 3 a.m. Sunday to 11 p.m. Sunday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

NOAA’s High-Resolution Rapid-Refresh (HRRR) model shows a smaller precipitation pattern Sunday and Sunday evening, with a later changeover to snow in the north:

rt0409rad6
HRRR simulated radar 3 a.m. Sunday to 11 p.m. Sunday
NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

The Twin Cities metro area could see a few scattered rain showers very late Sunday afternoon and Sunday evening. 

There is the potential for several inches of snow in parts of northern Minnesota Sunday evening into early Monday:

rt0409dlh
Potential snow totals Sunday PM into Monday
National Weather Service

A winter weather advisory starts at 7 p.m. Sunday in much of northeastern Minnesota:

rt0409dlh3
Winter weather advisory (blue) Sunday evening into early Monday
National Weather Service

Here are details of the winter weather advisory:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Duluth MN 321 PM CDT Sat Apr 9 2022 MNZ011-012-019>021-100830- /O.NEW.KDLH.WW.Y.0018.220411T0000Z-220411T1200Z/ North St. Louis-Northern Cook and Lake-Central St. Louis- Southern Lake-Southern Cook- Including the cities of Ely, Isabella, Hibbing, Two Harbors, Silver Bay, and Grand Marais 321 PM CDT Sat Apr 9 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 7 AM CDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. * WHERE...North St. Louis, Northern Cook and Lake, Central St. Louis, Southern Lake and Southern Cook Counties. This includes the Tribal Lands of the Grand Portage Reservation and the Bois Forte Band, Lake Vermilion and, Nett Lake areas. * WHEN...From 7 PM Sunday to 7 AM CDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin.

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the Minnesota Public Radio News network, and you can see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.

Temperature trends

Sunday highs will reach the 40s in roughly the northwestern half of Minnesota, with 50s in the southeastern half of Minnesota and into western Wisconsin:

rt0410h8
Sunday forecast highs
National Weather Service

Sunday afternoon wind gusts will be highest in southeastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin:

rt0410g8
Sunday 1 p.m. forecast wind gusts
National Weather Service

Forecast wind gusts are in knots, with 20 knots equal to 23 mph.

Back to temperatures, Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to reach mid 50s Monday, followed by lower 50s Tuesday and lower 60s Wednesday, then lower 40s Thursday and Friday.

Wet storm system this week

A slow-moving low pressure system will bring us strong winds and periods of rain this Tuesday and Wednesday, with a rain/snow mix possible on Thursday. There could also be a few scattered thunderstorms Tuesday evening and on Wednesday.

Parts of northern Minnesota could see some wet snow accumulations from the storm system this week. Here’s an overview of the storm, from the NWS:

rt0409mpx
Strong midweek storm
National Weather Service

Stay tuned.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.

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