Tracking the severe weather risk Wednesday
Highest risk zone from eastern Twin Cities into Wisconsin and southeast Minnesota.
![Severe weather risk areas](https://img.apmcdn.org/efc952208531a1af4f4be1fcbeaad86804207b8a/uncropped/a646da-20220614-severe-weather-risk-areas-1280.png)
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We’re tracking a possible severe weather outbreak Wednesday across our region.
NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center paints an enhanced risk zone across western Wisconsin, southeast Minnesota, and northeast Iowa.
Storm timing
The short-range forecast models vary on timing for rain and thunderstorms across eastern Minnesota Wednesday. A few models suggest rain and possible thunderstorms in the morning hours.
NOAA’s WRF model pains a few cells across southern Minnesota that could clip the Twin Cities area around midday. Most forecast models develop a stronger, possibly severe, line of storms across southeast Minnesota into western Wisconsin during the afternoon hours.
![NOAA WRF model](https://img.apmcdn.org/178fdd55b4fae392368784145eb42736b60f9810/uncropped/3c42f6-20220614-noaa-wrf-model-1024.gif)
Digging a little deeper, NOAA’s outlook suggests a five percent chance of damaging winds Wednesday within 25 miles of any point in the eastern Twin Cities. That number rises to thirty percent for southeast Minnesota and Wisconsin.
![Wind damage risk](https://img.apmcdn.org/225af7b0ce907240428c070799fd56653d30b4be/uncropped/2e4667-20220614-wind-damage-risk-1267.png)
Stay alert for possible severe weather watches and warnings Wednesday.
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