Beautiful Saturday; thunderstorm chances ramp up on Sunday
Severe weather is possible Sunday afternoon and evening
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Our Saturday weather might resemble that summery weather that you dreamt about in January.
Our average July 9 high temperature is 84 degrees in the Twin Cities. Many spots in the metro area will top out in the mid 80s Saturday afternoon. Most of Minnesota and western Wisconsin will see Saturday highs in the 80s, with some 70s in northeastern Minnesota.
Temperature trends
Highs will be in the upper 80s to around 90 across much of central and southern Minnesota on Sunday:
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There’ll be some low-to-mid 90s in portions of southwestern and west-central Minnesota and lower 80s in far northern Minnesota.
Dew points could top 70 degrees in parts of central and southern Minnesota Sunday afternoon:
It’ll feel steamy Sunday afternoon.
Looking ahead to next week, Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to reach the mid 80s on Monday, followed by lower 80s Tuesday. Metro area highs will return to the mid 80s Wednesday, then around 90 on Thursday and Friday.
Thunderstorm chances
A few scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible in northwestern Minnesota Saturday afternoon and evening. An isolated thunderstorm could develop in west-central and north-central Minnesota.
That shower and thunderstorm chance will spread eastward overnight Saturday night. The NWS Storm Prediction Center shows a slight risk (shaded yellow) of severe weather in far northwestern Minnesota Saturday and Saturday night:
Slight risk means that scattered severe thunderstorms are possible. An isolated severe thunderstorm is possible in the green-shaded area that’s labelled “1” on the map. Notes on timing and impacts are from the Grand Forks NWS office.
You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the Minnesota Public Radio News network, and you can see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.
Sunday thunderstorm and severe weather outlook
A cold front moves slowly through Minnesota Sunday and Sunday evening, with plenty of warm, humid and unstable air out ahead of it. Minnesota and western Wisconsin could see a few scattered showers/t-storms Sunday morning. Then there will probably be a stronger batch of thunderstorms that spreads across much of the Minnesota and western Wisconsin Sunday afternoon and evening.
Some severe weather is possible Sunday afternoon and evening. The NWS Storm Prediction Center shows a slight risk (shaded yellow) of severe weather Sunday and Sunday night for most of Minnesota and parts of west-central and northwestern Wisconsin:
Notes on thunderstorm timing and impacts are from the Twin Cities NWS office.
The Twin Cities metro area is included in that slight risk area, which indicates scattered severe t-storms are possible. The best chance of severe weather in the Twin Cities metro area would tend to be late Sunday afternoon and Sunday evening. Check forecast updates.
Rainy River Basin flooding update
Flood warnings continue in portions of the Rainy River Basin of far northern Minnesota:
Here’s the most recent flooding update for that area:
Flood Statement National Weather Service Duluth MN 804 PM CDT Fri Jul 8 2022 MNC071-137-112100- /O.CON.KDLH.FA.W.0012.000000T0000Z-220711T2100Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Koochiching MN-St. Louis MN- 804 PM CDT Fri Jul 8 2022 ...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Flooding caused by rain and snowmelt continues. * WHERE...Shoreline areas of Rainy Lake in northern Minnesota, as well as lower reaches of streams and rivers which empty into Rainy Lake. * WHEN...Until 400 PM CDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations is imminent or occurring. Several structures are flooded and some sand bagging operations are continuing. Numerous roads remain closed due to flooding. Low-water crossings are inundated with water and may not be passable. Expect many areas of slow moving or standing water. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 750 PM CDT, Friday, emergency management reported flooding in the warned area. Flooding is already occurring. - Namakan and Kabetogama Lakes have returned to normal regulated levels. Outflow will be reduced to hold the lake level steady. Rainy Lake was at 1111.2 feet as of the evening of July 8, which is near the 2014 crest and 20.4 inches below the new record set in June. The level of Rainy Lake is expected to fall by 10 to 12 inches between July 8 and July 15. At the current rate, Rainy Lake should return to regulated levels by early to mid August. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... International Falls, Rainy Lake West, Rainy Lake East, Voyageurs National Park, Ranier, Island View, Ray and Ericksburg. - For more information about flood safety, visit https://weather.gov/safety/flood. For more information about the Rainy Lake Basin flooding, visit https://weather.gov/dlh/RainyRiverBasin. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become unstable and unsafe.
And here’s a summary of flooding conditions in the Rainy River Basin:
The NWS Rainy River Basin page has additional information on the flooding.
Programming note
You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.