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Trick-or-treat 60s; hopeful rain, snow chances ahead

Forecast maps are looking a little more November-ish next week

Halloween 2022 may be as good as it gets for trick-or-treaters.

Temperatures are in the 60s across most of Minnesota Monday afternoon with a few spots touching 70 degrees, and some 50s up north.

Forecast high temperatures Monday
Forecast high temperatures Monday.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Evening temperatures will fall slowly through the upper 50s. Winds will be fairly tame, between 5 and 10 mph, an ideal evening for Halloween 2022.

Rain, snow chances in sight

Temperatures will still run as much as 20 degrees warmer than average this week. Highs will push the 70s again in southern Minnesota before the week is through.

Forecast high temperatures Wednesday
Forecast high temperatures Wednesday
NOAA

But an overall pattern change appears ready to take hold later this week into next week. The forecast maps are looking a little more November-ish next week.

Colder air and a series of stronger low-pressure systems look likely to bring the first widespread precipitation to our region in months.

The American and European models are cranking up a rain system that looks likely to cross Minnesota this Friday.

NOAA GFS model Friday
NOAA Global Forecast System model Thursday into Saturday
NOAA, via Tropical Tidbits

It’s still too early to be confident about rainfall totals later this week, but the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model is encouraging for rainfall in southeastern Minnesota with the Twin Cities on the edge.

European model (ECMWF) precipitation output
Precipitation output through Saturday
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Global Forecast System model cranks up a couple more systems that could bring rain, and or snow to Minnesota in the next two weeks.

Here’s a potential system for next Tuesday and Wednesday, Nov. 8-9:

NOAA GFS model Saturday
Global Forecast System model Nov. 8-9
NOAA, via Tropical Tidbits

Stay tuned.