Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Elevated fire danger for northern Minnesota, rising rivers south

Warm, dry start to the week with showers possible late week

168 hr QPF
Total rainfall over the past 7 days
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

After a soggy weekend, rivers are rising again south. Northern Minnesota will see an elevated fire risk Monday with warm, dry, breezy conditions. Highs will be well into the 70s with sunshine through Wednesday.

Floods and fire risk

A large swath of southern Minnesota saw 5 to 8 inches of rain over the last several days.

7 day precip
Total precipitation over the past 7 days
WeatherBELL Analytics

Much of this rain fell in the Minnesota River watershed. In southwestern Minnesota, the Cottonwood River at New Ulm is up 11 feet from several days ago.

New Ulm
Forecast river levels for the Cottonwood River at New Ulm
National Weather Service

This water will make its way through the Minnesota River pushing it up 7 more feet at Jordan.

jordan
Forecast river levels for the Minnesota River at Jordan
National Weather Service

That water will make it into the Mississippi. By Sunday, the Mississippi at St. Paul will go up another 6 feet, back into moderate flood stage.

STP river
Forecast river levels for the Mississippi River at St. Paul
National Weather Service

In northern Minnesota it’s the opposite problem. There’s a fire weather watch for much of northern Minnesota Monday afternoon.

fire watch
Fire weather watch for northern Minnesota Monday afternoon
National Weather Service

While winds will be light south, winds will be higher at 10-20 mph in northern Minnesota.

gusts
Forecast wind gusts Monday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

Relative humidity values will drop into just the teens by afternoon in northern Minnesota as well.

RH MON
Forecast relative humidity values 9 a.m. Monday through 5 p.m.
College of DuPage weather lab

Warm and sunny until late Wednesday

There was dense fog in many of the river valleys early Monday and over saturated ground in southern Minnesota. That fog was especially visible in the Mississippi River valleys.

VIS sat fog
Visible satellite imagery showing fog at 7:30 a.m. Monday
College of DuPage weather lab

We’ll have sunshine around through Wednesday along with dry weather. Highs Monday will be well into the 70s for most of Minnesota expect far southern Minnesota where clouds will linger for part of the day.

MON hi 8a
Forecast highs Monday
National Weather Service

Temperatures will be even warmer Tuesday with many places near 80 in southern Minnesota.

tue hi 8a
Forecast highs Tuesday
National Weather Service

A clipper system and cold front will bring more clouds and some scattered showers, thunder Wednesday night into Thursday and early Friday. Rainfall amounts look relatively light, however, which is good news for soaked soils in southern Minnesota.

WPC QPF
Forecast rainfall through Friday
NOAA, via Pivotal weather

It will be cooler briefly on Friday, in the 60s statewide. After that, we’re going to time out a beautiful weekend for a change. There’s been at least a trace of precipitation every weekend since late March in the Twin Cities.

This weekend looks sunny statewide and warm with highs in the 70s.