Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Smoke, heat return to Minnesota; chance of needed rain Friday

Midweek temps climb near 90 in southern Minnesota

T ANOM WED
Forecast temperature anomalies (difference from normal) Wednesday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Pivotal Weather

Temperatures continue to trend upward with highs in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees for many midweek. Smoke returns to the skies. A good chance of rain develops Friday and Saturday.

Above-normal temps; smoke returns

Tuesday will be well above normal in the mid to upper 80s across much of central and southern Minnesota.

tue hi 8a
Forecast highs Tuesday
National Weather Service

While temperatures increase, dew points will remain relatively pretty dry in the 40s only creating relative humidity values in the 15 to 30-percent range Tuesday afternoon.

Combine the dry air with breezy conditions and conditions in northeastern Minnesota will be near critical fire danger levels.

fire
Near critical fire conditions in northeastern Minnesota Tuesday
National Weather Service

Wednesday and Thursday will see highs near 90 for much of southern Minnesota. Temperatures will be about 10 degrees or more above normal for much of the state, although a breeze off of Lake Superior will drop temperatures along the North Shore.

wed hi 8a
Forecast highs Wednesday
National Weather Service

Canadian wildfire smoke returns, drifting into northern Minnesota late Tuesday and pretty much statewide by Wednesday.

smoke model
Modeled vertically integrated smoke from 1 a.m. Tuesday through 1 a.m. Thursday
NOAA, via WeatherBELL Analytics

There’s still a question as to how much smoke makes it to the surface to affect air quality.

Check the latest air quality conditions and forecasts here:

Needed rain possible Friday into the weekend

A mid and upper-level trough will move into the region, riding the upper-level ridge of heat in the central United States, giving us a hopeful chance of scattered showers and a few thunderstorms starting Friday into the weekend.

prec THU-SUN
Forecast precipitation 4 p.m. Thursday through 10 p.m. Sunday
College of DuPage weather lab

At this early stage the areas most favored for more significant precipitation include southern and southwestern Minnesota.

QPF WPC
Forecast total rainfall Friday through Sunday
NOAA Weather Prediction Center

This is supported by several model forecasts as well but could change as we get closer. Already the timing of this system has slowed some so a lot can change still.

models QPF
Forecast potential rainfall Friday into the weekend from four different model scenarios
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

We’ll also be a bit cooler, in the low to mid-80s this weekend with the increased cloud cover but temperatures look to heat back up next week.