Scattered showers and storms to wrap up the Fourth
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Updated at 810 p.m. Tuesday
New convective outlook from the Storm Prediction Center issued Tuesday evening for Tuesday night. Shrinks the marginal risk area slightly and shifts it farther southeast.
The large area of strong storms that swept across the Twin Cities late Tuesday morning brought small hail, torrential rain and gusty winds up to at least 50 mph. My rain gauge in Minneapolis was pleased to report a full inch of welcome rain. Other rain gauges reported half an inch and two-thirds of an inch in St. Paul.
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Showers and storms are scattered around Minnesota and northern Wisconsin late Tuesday afternoon.
Storm chances late Tuesday
Additional storm development will occur well into Tuesday evening. But the morning storms knocked out some of the atmosphere’s instability. The result is that the chance of severe storms has decreased from what had been forecast earlier in the day.
The Storm Prediction Center has lowered the risk for severe weather in Minnesota for the rest of Tuesday from slight (level 2 of 5) to marginal (level 1) and also decreased the area of coverage.
The marginal risk area includes the southern metro and areas south into Iowa and from the La Crosse area of Wisconsin northeastward to Upper Michigan.
Rain and thunderstorms will be most widespread Tuesday evening across southern Minnesota and then into western Wisconsin. Some storms could become strong or severe in or near the marginal risk area.
Be prepared to receive weather warnings. And take shelter indoors or inside a vehicle if lightning approaches.
Cooler, drier Wednesday and Thursday
Wednesday will bring relief from our recent heat and humidity. High temperatures should be from the mid 60s to mid 70s. The Twin Cities should have a high near 75 with a wind from the northwest at 10-20 mph.
Dew points will be in the 50s in the morning and likely drop into the 40s during the afternoon. Some showers are likely to linger in the southeast corner of the state.
Thursday will be dry and lovely with highs in the 70s.
Seasonable temperatures Friday through Sunday with chances of rain
Temperatures should be seasonable and quite comfortable from Friday through Sunday and probably well into next week.
There are likely to be decent chances of showers and maybe thunderstorms on Friday and again on Sunday.