Isolated thunderstorms today and Saturday
Severe risk is low, but a few storms could get locally feisty.
![NOAA FV3 model](https://img.apmcdn.org/780058929eda3491012dbd952201708b5ad3bde5/uncropped/530f8a-20230721-noaa-fv3-model-1024.gif)
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It’s a hit-or-miss rainfall pattern again today across Minnesota.
There’s just enough moisture and instability in our atmosphere to pop a few spotty thunderstorms today and Saturday. As of this post, a pretty feisty cell with nice beneficial local downpours is working through St. Paul and the eastern Twin Cities.
NOAA’s FV3 model shows a similar pattern taking shape for Saturday afternoon. The loop (top of post) below runs between noon and 6 pm Saturday.
NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center paints a marginal (low) risk for a few severe cells Saturday afternoon across our region.
![Severe weather risk areas](https://img.apmcdn.org/264dd27b3ea96774692e475f8ea1a12373f4d187/uncropped/80f621-20230721-severe-weather-risk-areas-1102.png)
Overall rainfall still looks light with some locally heavier downpours. Here’s the European model rainfall outlook for the next 10 days.
![European model (ECMWF) precipitation output](https://img.apmcdn.org/a8abe5f7f1095283a68750794836c8cd7d3b8e67/uncropped/7d6d69-20230721-european-model-ecmwf-precipitation-output-757.png)
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