Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Hot start to August; thunderstorms for the northern half of Minnesota

Air quality alert for northern Minnesota into Tuesday afternoon

NWS fcst MSP
Forecast for east central Minnesota this week
National Weather Service

Temperatures will be heating up through the 80s Tuesday and 90s Wednesday across southern and western Minnesota. Strong storms are possible in northern Minnesota.

Warmer Tuesday; strong storms possible north

Temperatures will be heating up a bit more Tuesday with some places warming into the low 90s in the Red River Valley. Most of southern Minnesota will see upper 80s with cooler readings in northeastern Minnesota.

tue hi 8a
Forecast highs Tuesday
National Weather Service

We already have some thunderstorms in northwestern Minnesota Tuesday morning and more will develop in the afternoon and evening. Most of that activity will remain in the northern half of the state.

tue_wed precip
Forecast precipitation 7 a.m. Tuesday through 12 a.m. Wednesday
College of DuPage weather lab

There’s a slight risk of severe storms (level 2 of 5) for northwestern Minnesota and a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) across much of the northern half of the state. The main threats would be some damaging wind gusts and large hail.

SPC risk TUE
Severe weather outlook for Tuesday into Tuesday night
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Storm Prediction Center, via Iowa State University

Smoke also continues to linger across northern Minnesota reducing air quality some.

smoke plume
Smoke plume and air quality Tuesday morning
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

An air quality alert remains in place through 3 p.m. Tuesday afternoon north.

AQ
Air quality alert through 3 p.m. Tuesday
National Weather Service

Hotter Wednesday and Thursday

Dew points will start to increase Tuesday with mid to upper 60s pushing into western Minnesota and low 60s in the Twin Cities by late in the day Tuesday.

Tue DEW
Forecast dew points later Tuesday
National Weather Service

It’ll be even hotter Wednesday and Thursday with highs in the low 90s across a good chunk of central and southern Minnesota.

wed hi 8a
Forecast highs Wednesday
National Weather Service

More storms will be possible across the northern half of Minnesota on Wednesday as well.

WED POP
Forecast rainfall chances Wednesday
National Weather Service

Rain potential over the weekend?  

Some models are giving us a decent rainfall late Saturday into Sunday. There’s still a range of tracks and possibilities with that system. Here are three different model scenarios for weekend total rainfall:

QPF models
Three different model scenarios for weekend rainfall
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

Next week then looks to bring normal or cooler than normal temperatures.