Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Last summery day; severe risk west of the Twin Cities

This could be the last day in the 80s this year for parts of Minnesota.

Forecast high temperatures Tuesday
Forecast high temperatures Tuesday.
NOAA

Get out there and bask in the 80-degree warmth today, Minnesota. This could be the last 80-degree day of the year for most of Minnesota.

But our inbound cold front will drop temperatures about 20 degrees across much of Minnesota by Wednesday.

Severe risk west

The cold front drives scattered rain and thunderstorms through Tuesday night. NOAA’s HRRR model tracks the line of rain and embedded thunderstorms between 7 p.m. Tuesday and 1 a.m. Wednesday.

NOAA HRRR model
NOAA HRRR model between 7 pm Tuesday, and 1 am Wednesday.
NOAA via tropical tidbits

Rain chances favor western Minnesota through early evening, with rain most likely in the Twin Cities after about 10 p.m. into the wee small hours of Wednesday.

A slight risk for severe storms with possible hail and high winds covers southwest MInnesota. A marginal (low) risk for storms covers most of western Minnesota west of the Twin Cities and Duluth.

Severe weather risk areas
Severe weather risk areas.
NOAA via Iowa Emergency Management

Overall rainfall totals look lighter in eastern Minnesota with less than .50” likely in the Twin Cities. The best chance for an inch of rain locally favors western and central Minnesota.

European model (ECMWF) precipitation output
European model (ECMWF) precipitation output through Wednesday.
ECMWF via pivotal weather