Mainly 50s for highs today and Monday, then a bit warmer; Wednesday rain chance
Fall color update for leaf-peepers
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This is fairly typical weather for mid October.
Sunday afternoon highs will be mainly in the 50s across Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Twin Cities metro area highs are forecast to be a few degrees shy of average, which is 59 degrees this time of year.
Temperature trends
Monday highs will be mainly in the 50s:
![rt1016h15](https://img.apmcdn.org/495274d548ac2bde4d3b044c582c73b836d48bed/uncropped/ef8ac6-20231015-rt1016h15-420.png)
Tuesday high temperatures reach the lower 60s in the Twin Cities metro area and portions of western and southern Minnesota, with 50s elsewhere:
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![rt1017h15](https://img.apmcdn.org/450574101b78a5ffbe01dfb9097834d637c0b8db/uncropped/47638b-20231015-rt1017h15-420.png)
Twin Cities metro area highs are projected to reach the lower 60s on Wednesday, followed by mid 50s Thursday and upper 50s on Friday.
Rain chances
Most of Minnesota will have a rain-free Sunday. Parts of far southeastern Minnesota and west-central Wisconsin could see a brief sprinkle late Sunday morning and early Sunday afternoon.
You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the MPR News network.
Monday and Tuesday look dry, then patchy showers are possible in Minnesota and western Wisconsin late Tuesday night and into Wednesday/Wednesday night. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale forecast model shows the potential rain pattern from 1 a.m. Wednesday to 7 p.m. Wednesday:
![rt1015rad3](https://img.apmcdn.org/12b24c76ee4b6efd9f1022099f3e1f89fb85b2b2/uncropped/3beedc-20231015-rt1015rad3-1024.gif)
Pay more attention to the patchy nature of the rain than the exact location of the rain at any point in time.
Check forecast updates.
Fall color report
Portions of northern Minnesota are past peak for fall colors, but beautiful fall colors are still on display across much of Minnesota.
The Minnesota Department of Natural Resources fall color report for Minnesota State Parks and Trails looks like this:
![rt1015fall3](https://img.apmcdn.org/63b0090fe6edab4a28eb7991233b65886fd3dfe6/uncropped/66fad9-20231015-rt1015fall3-1400.png)
The changeover to fall colors was faster in many locations the past couple of years. Here’s a look at the mid-October fall color report for 2021 through 2023:
![rt1015fall2](https://img.apmcdn.org/29cabcdd6a57f07e41f86a3405d3c6a6153331f3/uncropped/9c2743-20231015-rt1015fall2-953.png)
Weather nugget
The official Twin Cities high temperature (measured at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport) has been in the 50s on 7 of the past 9 days. The only warmer readings at MSP over the past 9 days were 60 degrees on Oct. 8 and 62 degrees on October 11.
Programming note
You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:39 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.