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Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News
Paul Huttner

Big changes on the way

Thursday starts warm for the Twin Cities. Powerful cold front sweeps through by Friday.

Nov 15
Green grass and bright blue sky near the Weather Lab on Wednesday.
Paul Huttner | MPR News

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Minnesota has seen a run of balmy weather deep into mid-November this year. But the warm weather party is about to come to an abrupt end in the next 24 hours.

Thursday brings one more unseasonably warm day to central and southern Minnesota. Highs will run well into the 60s across southern Minnesota on Thursday. I think it’s possible we could see 70 degrees at some locations in southern Minnesota on Thursday.

Forecast high temperatures Thursday
Forecast high temperatures Thursday.
NOAA

But colder air will shove its way into northwest Minnesota on Thursday. And the cold front will come sweeping southward on gusty northwest winds by Thursday night.

Surface weather maps
Surface weather maps through Friday.
NOAA

This particular cold front is really more of an average front. It will drop temperatures to near seasonal normals for mid-November through the upcoming weekend. Highs will be in the 40s to 50s south with 30s to 40s north.

Forecast high temperatures Sunday 2
Forecast high temperatures on Sunday.
NOAA

Cold and possible snow Thanksgiving week

It’s hard to believe Thanksgiving arrives next week. The weather maps insist on an intrusion of colder-than-average air for a change next week.

A low-pressure system brings a chance of rain changing to snow Monday into Tuesday. NOAA’s model suggests we could see some light accumulations Monday night into Tuesday. But the usually more trusty European and Canadian models suggest it will be just warm enough for mostly rain in the Twin Cities, with a few wet snowflakes possible Tuesday morning. Here’s the Canadian model solution from 7 a.m. Monday to 7 a.m. Tuesday.

Canadian model
Canadian model 7 a.m. Monday to 7 a.m. Tuesday.
Environment Canada via tropical tidbits

It seems more certain that temperatures next week will plunge. Highs in the 20s look likely next Wednesday through Thanksgiving weekend.

It appears the cold season may finally stick around starting next week.

Stay tuned.