Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

2nd longest dry streak on record ends with snow Thursday

Weather maps look more like winter than the first days of spring

MNDOT cam 2
MnDOT cam shows heavy snow along I-94 near Clearwater, Minn., on Feb. 14, 2024.
Minnesota Department of Transportation

Remember that Valentine’s Day snowfall?

Yeah, I didn’t either.

But it turns out that system was at the front end of the second longest dry streak on record in the Twin Cities. The Twin Cities hasn’t recorded any measurable precipitation since then. If we stay dry as forecast through Wednesday, that will make 34 days without a measurable raindrop or snowflake in the Twin Cities.

Much-needed moisture ahead

I wrote in detail about the two likely storm systems moving toward Minnesota Thursday and again Sunday into Monday. You can read details on current snowfall projections here.

The good news is if the forecast models’ projections of significant rain or snow pan out, we really need that moisture.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Global Forecast System model lays out over an inch of liquid equivalent for most of southern Minnesota:

NOAA GFS precipitation output
Global Forecast System precipitation output through Tuesday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

The European model cranks out over 2 inches in many areas.

European model (ECMWF) precipitation output
Precipitation output forecast
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

So even though the precipitation won’t make it into the updated U.S. Drought Monitor update this week, it should be helpful for soils, lakes, and rivers. It should also help reduce our unusually high fire danger.

Astronomical spring begins this week. But the weather maps look more like winter for a change.

NOAA 6 to 10-day temperature outlook
6 to 10-day temperature outlook
NOAA

Stay tuned.