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Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News
Paul Huttner

Soaking rain, thunderstorms Friday; severe risk south of Twin Cities

A few storms could reach severe limits in southern Minnesota

Severe weather risk areas
Severe weather risk areas Friday. A significant wind, hail, and tornado outbreak looks likely across Iowa on Friday.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

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Here comes another show of April showers, Minnesota.

This system will also produce thunderstorms, and a few could pack gusty winds and hail across southern Minnesota south of the Twin Cities Friday.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Storm Prediction Center paints a marginal risk for a few severe cells, basically south of a line from Mankato through Rochester. The Interstate 90 corridor has the highest chance of severe storms Friday.

Severe weather risk areas 2
Severe weather risk areas Friday.
Twin Cities National Weather Service office

NOAA’s Global Forecast System model captures the essence of two distinct storms rolling through Minnesota between Friday and Sunday. Note the likely break in the rain between systems from Saturday afternoon into Sunday morning:

NOAA GFS model
Global Forecast System model between 1 a.m. Friday and 1 a.m. Monday
NOAA, via Tropical Tidbits

Each system looks likely to produce around an inch of rain for much of Minnesota. Overall, widespread rainfall total by Monday should cover most of Minnesota with 1 to 2 inches. A few models suggest local 3-inch totals are possible.

Canadian model precipitation output
Canadian model precipitation output into Monday
Environment Canada, via Pivotal Weather

Saturday will be the mildest day this weekend with highs from 50 degrees northwest to around 70 degrees in far southeastern Minnesota.

Forecast high temperatures Saturday
Forecast high temperatures Saturday
NOAA

Winds will gust over 30 mph once again for most of the weekend.

Next week looks increasingly like spring with highs warming into the upper 60s with 70s possible for the first weekend in May.

Stay tuned.