Scattered rains into Tuesday. Nature’s fireworks on the 4th?
Another week of scattered rain and some thunderstorms
![Twin Cities area forecast at a glance](https://img.apmcdn.org/212b41e02ea016fcca82c38f88257f2a63f165d9/uncropped/e4faf9-20240701-twin-cities-area-forecast-at-a-glance-1536.png)
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Get ready for another week of storm dodging, Minnesota.
This week brings a mix of sunshine and occasional thunderstorms. Wednesday looks like the nicest day this week, but we may be dodging thunderstorms on the Fourth of July.
Another wave of showers and thunderstorms rolls across Minnesota overnight into Tuesday morning. We’ll catch a break in the rain most of Tuesday, but a line of scattered storms could develop along the passing front again Tuesday afternoon just southeast of the Twin Cities.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model shows the likely progression of the rain zones between 7 p.m. Monday and 7 p.m. Tuesday:
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![NOAA HRRR model](https://img.apmcdn.org/a56143cbf40fb4ba389c030f31e9176d0ccb07c1/uncropped/2cd858-20240701-noaa-hrrr-model-1024.gif)
Rainfall totals will range from a little rain to as much as 1 inch locally across parts of southeastern Minnesota through Tuesday.
![European model (ECMWF) precipitation output](https://img.apmcdn.org/fb7fbf70a1d177a411aa6a762af111f6d2d10b52/uncropped/d9a64b-20240701-european-model-ecmwf-precipitation-output-733.png)
Thankfully, the severe risk stays south of most of Minnesota through Tuesday. A severe weather outbreak is more likely across Iowa and Missouri Tuesday.
![Severe weather risk areas](https://img.apmcdn.org/a041251841a6d19d323c022586a94cc08f955091/uncropped/49e8cf-20240701-severe-weather-risk-areas-597.png)
Wednesday looks summery with plenty of sunshine and highs in the 80s!
![Forecast high temperatures Wednesday](https://img.apmcdn.org/65c17df93863faf85ad81777e07c8e56f0ead084/uncropped/3a8f49-20240701-forecast-high-temperatures-wednesday-633.png)
Fourth of July rain and thunder?
Most forecast models continue to crank out scattered rain and thunderstorms across Minnesota on Thursday.
Here’s the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model loop between 7 a.m. Thursday and 7 a.m. Friday:
![European model (ECMWF) rainfall forecast](https://img.apmcdn.org/5d69bbc55ea204cc91cb1254f85191da9edeb843/uncropped/5e74cd-20240701-european-model-ecmwf-rainfall-forecast-800.gif)
Stay tuned for the timing of rainfall as we get closer to the Fourth of July.