Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Tropical Cyclone Nine expected to intensify

Heavy, flooding rains for Florida's Gulf Coast

Tropical cyclone nine pressure and winds
Tropical Cyclone Nine's surface pressure and winds.
NOAA via Tropical Tidbits

A strong low-pressure system in the northwestern Caribbean is forecasted to strengthen this week, potentially bringing heavy rainfall and flash flooding to Florida’s Gulf Coast.

Tropical Cyclone Nine

The National Hurricane Center is focusing its attention on Tropical Cyclone Nine in the northwestern Caribbean and portions of Central America. A tropical depression or storm is highly likely to develop within the next 48 hours. This broad area of low pressure will continue moving northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea, into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone nine watches and warnings
Tropical cyclone nine watches and warnings
NOAA via National Hurricane Center

Watches and warnings issued

The governments of Cuba and Mexico have issued tropical storm warnings and hurricane watches in response to the developing weather system.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cabo Catoche to Tulum, Mexico * Cuban province of Pinar del Rio A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Rio Lagartos to Tulum, Mexico * Cuban provinces of Artemisa, and Pinar del Rio, and the Isle of Youth

Strong winds and heavy rainfall

There is a potential for significant storm surge, heavy rainfall and flooding, and strong winds across the north and eastern Gulf Coast. These strong winds will reach the southern portions of Florida Wednesday morning.

Tropical cyclone nine estimated time of winds
Tropical cyclone nine estimated time of winds
NOAA via National Hurricane Center
Tropical cyclone nine wind speeds
Tropical cyclone nine wind speeds
NOAA via National Hurricane Center

Heavy rainfall will spread into the southeastern United States from Wednesday to Friday, with forecast models predicting between 4 to 8 inches of rain for Florida’s Gulf Coast.

Qualitative precipitation forecast for tropical cyclone nine
Qualitative precipitation forecast for tropical cyclone nine
NOAA via Weather Prediction Center

One positive aspect of this situation is the anticipated rainfall following landfall, which could benefit the southeast region. The moisture from the upcoming rainfall will be beneficial for addressing the severe to extreme drought currently impacting multiple states.

Current U.S. drought monitor
Current U.S. drought monitor
NOAA