Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Roller coaster temperature ride this week

Highs from the 60s to the 80s again by Wednesday

Twin Cities area forecast at a glance
Twin Cities area forecast at a glance.
Twin Cities National Weather Service office

Welcome to October, Minnesota.

This week brings a fast-moving jet stream waving across the state. That means cooler October coolness breezes with a few more gasps of summery temperatures.

You can feel the temperature change in the air Tuesday. Notice how the balmy 80s have been pushed well south of Minnesota on the national temperature map Tuesday afternoon.

Temperatures Tuesday afternoon
Temperatures Tuesday afternoon
Oklahoma Mesonet

Wednesday brings a return to southwest flow and warmer air. Highs will soar back into the 80s across southern and central Minnesota on Wednesday afternoon.

Forecast high temperatures Wednesday
Forecast high temperatures Wednesday
NOAA

Thursday brings cooler breezes behind another cool front.

Forecast high temperatures Thursday
Forecast high temperatures Thursday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Drought expanding

We’re still searching for meaningful rainfall across Minnesota. Last week’s drought update showed 80 percent of Minnesota is now abnormally dry or in drought. You can tell the ground is dry underfoot.

The weather maps don’t show any significant rainfall for Minnesota for at least another week. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model remains mainly dry for the next 10 days:

European model (ECMWF) precipitation output
Precipitation output for the next 10 days
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, via Pivotal Weather

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s outlooks for most of October continue to favor warmer and drier than normal conditions:

NOAA 8 to 14-day precipitation outlook
8 to 14-day precipitation outlook.
NOAA

We’ll need a few widespread soaking rain events to recharge soils in late October and November before the ground freezes up in December.

Stay tuned.