Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Frost and freeze advisories Friday morning; drought expands

Highs in the 80s likely Saturday and again next week

Frost and freeze advisories
Frost and freeze advisories Thursday night
Duluth National Weather Service office

Get ready for the first frost of the year for much of central Minnesota. And freeze warnings are flying farther north. Temperatures will fall into the lower 30s in the far north early Friday morning.

Forecast low temperatures Friday morning
Forecast low temperatures Friday morning.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

We’re spiraling quickly into drought across Minnesota in this persistently parched weather pattern.

The area of moderate drought in Minnesota nearly tripled this week. Last week, 15 percent of Minnesota was in moderate drought. This week it’s 43 percent.

U.S. Drought Monitor for Minnesota
U.S. Drought Monitor for Minnesota
National Drought Mitigation Center

Ninety-four percent of Minnesota is now either in drought or abnormally dry, heading for drought. There is little or no meaningful rain in the forecast maps for at least another week. Light rainfall may occur across northern Minnesota.

European model (ECMWF) precipitation output
Precipitation output for the next 10 days
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

Here’s more detail on our expanding Midwest drought from this week’s U.S. Drought Monitor discussion:

Meanwhile, in areas unaffected by Helene, severe drought (D2) was introduced in northern Wisconsin and much of the Upper Peninsula of Michigan, and also expanded to cover a larger part of southwestern Missouri. Meanwhile, D0 and D1 conditions expanded substantially in the rest of Wisconsin, Minnesota, and to a lesser extent Iowa. Accumulated precipitation over the past 60 days is above normal across Kentucky, southern Illinois, and part of southeastern Missouri while totals are 3 to 6 inches below normal in the northern Great Lakes region, southern Minnesota, most of Iowa, northwestern Illinois, and most of northern and western Missouri. Over the northern Great Lakes, northern Minnesota, the west half of Iowa, and part of western Missouri, these totals were near or less than half of normal. The lack of rain is significantly impacting livestock and some field drops across southwestern Missouri and adjacent areas.

Changeable weekend ahead

If you don’t like the weather, just wait a day this weekend. Friday looks glorious with lots of sun and light winds but cool.

Forecast high temperatures Friday
Forecast high temperatures Friday
NOAA

Saturday brings summery winds again, with gusts to 30 mph and highs into the 80s once again.

Forecast high temperatures Saturday
Forecast high temperatures Saturday
NOAA

Another fast-moving cold front drops temperatures 20 degrees on gusty northwest winds Sunday.

Forecast high temperatures Sunday
Forecast high temperatures Sunday
NOAA

Summery again next week 

Persistent southerly winds bring warmth back to Minnesota next week. Highs in the 70s to 80 are likely once again.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Admininstration outlooks continue to favor a warmer-than-normal October overall.

NOAA 8 to 14-day temperature outlook
8 to 14-day temperature outlook
NOAA

Stay tuned.