Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Finally some rain Thursday! Warmest fall on record so far for Twin Cities

Scattered showers, possible thunder clap favor afternoon into early evening hours

NOAA NAM 3 km model
North American Mesoscale 3 km model between noon and 9 p.m. Thursday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via Tropical Tidbits

Do you remember where you put your umbrella? You will need it Thursday afternoon and evening around most of Minnesota.

A low-pressure wave will bring showers to western Minnesota Thursday morning. Showers and a few possible thunderstorms will grow as they move eastward across Minnesota in the afternoon and evening.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s NAM 3 km model shows the likely timing and coverage for rain Thursday as it sweeps east across Minnesota. The forecast model loop above runs between noon and 9 p.m. Thursday.

Rainfall totals will likely fall between about one-fifth and one-half of an inch in most of Minnesota.

NOAA FV3 model
Finite­-Volume Cubed-Sphere Dynamical Core model precipitation output through Thursday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

It won’t end a drought, but it may settle the dust for a few days.

Highs Thursday will reach the 60s south and 50s north.

Forecast high temperatures Thursday
Forecast high temperatures Thursday
NOAA

Temperature will cool Friday into the weekend. But watch how 70s return to Minnesota by Monday.

NOAA GFS temperature output
Global Forecast System temperature output between Thursday and Monday afternoon
NOAA, via Tropical Tidbits

Warmest fall on record so far in the Twin Cities

The warmest September on record yielded temperatures about 7 degrees warmer than average overall in the Twin Cities. Now October is running at 6.9 degrees warmer than average in the Twin Cities through Tuesday.

Much of northern Minnesota is running about 10 degrees warmer than average over the past 30 days.

Temperature departure from average
Temperature departure from average over the past 30 days.
Midwest Regional Climate Center

This is the warmest meteorological fall (Sep-Nov) on record so far according to my chat Wednesday with Kenny Blumenfeld from the Minnesota State Climatology Office. Duluth and St. Cloud are in the top 3 warmest falls so far.

You can hear more of my conversations with Kenny as we talk about the upcoming winter forecast on MPR News Climate Cast on Thursday afternoon.

MPR News Climate Cast
MPR News Climate Cast
MPR News