Warmest fall on record: Outlooks favor warmer than normal November
This could be one of the warmest meteorological fall seasons on record.
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We’re living in uncharted weather territory again this fall in Minnesota. On Thursday I wrote about the warmest fall on record so far. The jet stream’s mean position this October has been consistently north of climatology. That means milder than normal weather south of the jet stream where we live.
The Twin Cities is running 6.8 degrees warmer than normal this month so far. Cooler days are here for now, but highs in the 70s will return Monday and Tuesday.
And NOAA’s outlooks favor a warmer-than-normal November ahead. The 6 to 10-day temperatures outlook favors warmer than normal weather from Minnesota eastward.
NOAA’s 8 to 14-day temperature outlook continues to favor warmer than normal weather for the first week of November.
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And the monthly outlook for November slightly favors a warmer-than-normal month.
If we finish November warmer than normal, this will likely be a top 10 warmest meteorological fall on record. And if November is a few degrees warmer than normal, this could challenge for one of the warmest fall seasons on record in Minnesota.
The potential for La Nina in the Pacific this winter favors colder-than-normal weather in Minnesota.
But the signal is weak, and keep in mind that La Nina winters typically tend to assert the effects in the second half of winter.
Stay tuned.