June starts off hot and brings a severe weather risk

A storm system moving across Minnesota brings very hot weather and a severe weather threat for Tuesday. Above average temperatures are likely to stick around into next week.

Monday’s forecast

A warm front moving across Minnesota Monday will sustain stronger winds from the south, with parts of southern Minnesota seeing gusts over 20 mph at times.

That warmer air pushing in will bring all but the Arrowhead hot weather Monday, with afternoon with highs mostly in the 80s and 90s. 

Much of western Minnesota will see their first 90s of the year. 

There are also a few showers and storms associated with the front, including larger bands in southeastern and northwestern Minnesota as of 9 a.m. Monday morning. 

The precipitation in southern Minnesota likely diminishes through the morning, while the northern part of the state has showers and storms move across it into the afternoon. Rain totals should mostly remain light and under one-quarter inch.

Tuesday’s forecast

Although there is only an isolated chance for any stronger storms Monday, the chance for severe weather increases Tuesday afternoon. 

The same storm system bringing the warm front Monday moves a cold front into northern Minnesota Monday night which pushes through the rest of the state on Tuesday. 

Ahead of that front, temperatures in southern Minnesota still make it into the 90s, including the Twin Cities likely seeing the first 90 of the season. 

In northern Minnesota, where the cooler air moves in sooner, it will not be as hot.

The heat and humidity in southern Minnesota, along with the front moving through will serve as a trigger for storms in southern half of the state Tuesday afternoon.

Some of those storms are likely to be severe, putting much of southern Minnesota is under an enhanced risk area Tuesday, with wind and hail as the primary threats, but isolated tornadoes also possible.

Extended forecast

Behind the cold front, dry skies, lower humidity, and more sunshine return Wednesday. Temperatures will not be as hot, staying in the 70s and 80s through the end of the week. 

This is still about 5 to 15 degrees above average. Next week is also looking hot, with more 90s possible.

The rest of the weather also remains fairly active, with more showers and storms likely by Thursday, and continued scattered precipitation possible through the weekend.

Programming note

 You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public Radio at 7:48 a.m. Monday through Friday morning.