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Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News
Paul Huttner

Strong to severe storms likely Tuesday night across southern Minnesota

Season's first severe risk late Tuesday for Twin Cities; weekend was a soaker

Severe weather risk areas
Severe weather risk areas Tuesday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

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Our fading drought is turning into a soggy spring across much of Minnesota.

Our latest soaking rainfall delivered between 1 and 3 inches of rainfall across much of Minnesota since last Friday morning.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Multi-Radar/Multi-Sensor System precipitation map below shows the widespread soak zone since last Friday morning.

72 hour rainfall
72-hour rainfall through 9 a.m. Monday
NOAA, via Pivotal Weather

Here are some select three-day rainfall totals from last Friday through Monday morning. Some areas picked up more than 3 inches of rainfall!

  • Annandale, 4.02 inches

  • Pipestone, 3.48 inches

  • Montevideo, 3.32 inches

  • Sartell, 2.84 inches

  • Victoria, 1.36 inches (west metro)

  • Maplewood, 1.26 inches (east metro)

So far this month there are some impressive rainfall totals:

  • Montevideo, 5.24 inches

  • Pipestone, 5.44 inches

  • Sartell, 6.3 inches

Sartell has picked up a total of 9.4 inches of precipitation so far this year.

Severe risk Tuesday

It’s gray and a little soggy out there this Monday. Our next significant storm arrives in Minnesota Tuesday afternoon and evening.

NOAA’s Finite-Volume Cubed-Sphere Dynamical Core model shows a low-pressure wave and cold front driving a line of thunderstorms across Minnesota Tuesday afternoon into the evening.

The storms are most likely to reach the Twin Cities between about 6 and 8 p.m. Tuesday.

NOAA FV3 model
FV3 model between 1 p.m. and 9 p.m. Tuesday.
NOAA, via Tropical Tidbits

NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center lays out a slight risk for severe storms across southwestern Minnesota Tuesday. A marginal (lower) risk extends farther north and includes the greater Twin Cities area.

Severe weather risk areas 2
Severe weather risk areas Tuesday
Twin Cities National Weather Service office

The primary threats Tuesday are damaging wind gusts to 70 mph and large hail of at least 1 inch in diameter. Tornadoes do not look to be widespread but these types of storms can occasionally produce relatively brief squall line-type tornadoes.

Keep an eye and ear out for possible severe weather watches and warnings on Tuesday!