Updraft® - Minnesota Weather News

Valentine's Day forecast is more thorns than roses

Two rounds of snow for the weekend followed by bitterly cold temperatures

Winter weather advisory
Winter weather advisory
National Weather Service

This Valentine’s Day weekend we will feel the frosty embrace of winter as arctic air moves in by Sunday night. Expect snowfall chances through Friday afternoon and evening, with another possibility of light snow Saturday night.

Valentine’s Day snowfall

“Life is like a box of chocolates, you never know what you’re gonna get.” — Forrest Gump

I’d swap the word “life” with “the forecast,” because sometimes the weather is just as unpredictable as life and Friday’s snowfall is no exception!

Our snowfall is still on track for the Twin Cities metro area, but it has a lot of dry air to get through first. As our chief meteorologist Paul Huttner put it yesterday, this is a boom or bust situation. There’s a significant amount of dry air overhead that the system needs to overcome before the snow can start falling. And right now, it’s not looking too promising for the Twin Cities metro area. The dry air is definitely putting a damper on things.

The National Weather Service is still forecasting 3-4 inches of snow for the metro. However, if the snow begins later than expected, we may only see about 1 inch or so. Southeastern Minnesota and central Wisconsin have a higher likelihood of seeing more than 4 inches of snow.

Potential snowfall
Potential snowfall
National Weather Service

Winter weather advisories will be in effect from 2 p.m. Friday until 3 a.m. Saturday for the Twin Cities, as well as portions of eastern and southeastern Minnesota extending into Wisconsin.

Winter weather advisory
Winter weather advisory
National Weather Service

According to the Weather Prediction Center's probability guide, there is a 50 to 70 percent chance that the metro area will receive more than 2 inches of snow.

Probability of 2 inches of snow for Friday
Probability of 2 inches of snow for Friday
NOAA via Weather Prediction Center

Temperatures for Friday night will dip into the upper teens to low 20s in the Twin Cities and southeastward, while central and northern Minnesota will experience single digits, both above and below zero.

Lows for Friday night
Lows for Friday night
National Weather Service

Saturday will bring temperatures closer to our seasonal average, with highs reaching the 20s. However, very cold arctic air will start moving into northwestern Minnesota, where highs are expected to only be in the single digits.

Highs for Saturday
Highs for Saturday
National Weather Service

Saturday night, we'll have another shot at light snow, likely amounting to 1 inch or less.

Forecast precipitation noon Saturday to noon Sunday
Forecast precipitation noon Saturday to noon Sunday
NOAA via Pivotal Weather

Another wave of frigid arctic air is on the way for most of next week, bringing dangerously cold wind chills in the 30 to 40 degrees below zero range. Temperatures will be stuck in the single digits, both above and below zero.

Temperatures anomalies Monday through Friday
Temperatures anomalies Monday through Friday
NOAA via Pivotal Weather

My puppy Aspen wants to wish everybody a Happy Valentine’s Day! Stay warm!

Dog enjoying toys
Meteorologist Mandy Thalhuber's dog Aspen enjoying her Valentine's Day goodies.
Courtesy of Mandy Thalhuber
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