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A pot of gold forecast for St. Patrick's Day

How lucky have we've been with our previous St. Patrick's Day forecasts?

people dressed up in green wave to onlookers
Jeff Schmidt (center) waves to onlookers during St. Paul’s 2024 St. Patrick's Day Parade.
Tim Evans for MPR News

It might just be the luck of the Irish, but the forecast calls for a warm, sunny day with pleasant 60-degree temperatures for the Twin Cities metro area and southern regions.

Central areas will experience 50s and sunshine, while northern Minnesota will see more cloud cover and lingering snow from a passing system.

Sunny and breezy with varied temps

Temperatures across the state vary significantly, with 30s in the north, 50s in the central regions, and mid to upper 60s in the south.

Highs for Monday
Highs for Monday
National Weather Service

St. Paul’s St. Patrick’s Day parade may be a bit breezy, with southwesterly winds continuing at 10 to 20 mph, shifting to the east-northeast as we move through Monday.

Wind speed and direction Monday
Wind speed and direction Monday
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, via College of DuPage weather lab

No rainbows in the forecast for Monday, but with these temperatures, some are sure to find a little luck in the form of vitamin D!

History of St. Patrick’s Day forecasts

Taking a look back to 1939 gives us a glimpse of just how lucky, or unlucky, our forecasts have been for this Irish holiday over the years. The average high for March 17 is 42 degrees, with an average low of 25 degrees.

Our four-leaf clover award for the warmest St. Patrick’s Day goes to the year 2012 with a record high of 80 degrees. Meanwhile, the coldest temperature was recorded in 1941 with a chilly high of just 8 degrees.

The following years hold the record for the warmest temperatures:

  • 2012, 80 degrees

  • 1966, 71 degrees

  • 1968, 68 degrees

  • 2003, 60 degrees

  • 1995, 60 degrees

If we hit our forecast high of 65 degrees, 2025 will rank as one of the top five warmest St. Patrick's Days on record.

Climatologically, 24 percent of the recorded years have experienced precipitation of one one-hundredth of an inch or more; 19 percent of the years have seen snowfall of one-tenth of an inch or more.

The following years have been the wettest on record:

  • 1965, 11.2 inches of snow, 0.89 of an inch of precipitation

  • 1989, 3.1 inches of snow, 0.30 of an inch of precipitation

  • 1946, 0.24 of an inch of precipitation

  • 1977, 3.6 inches of snow, 0.21 of an inch of precipitation

  • 2008, 0.9 of an inch of snow, 0.14 of an inch of precipitation

Whether you're out celebrating the luck of the Irish or simply enjoying the weather, it looks like we’re in for a pleasant St. Patrick’s Day with mild temperatures and plenty of sunshine. Just don’t forget your green, and enjoy the day safely—may the luck of the Irish be with you!

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